west africa – ½ñÈÕ³Ô¹Ï I Championing Mathematical Sciences for Australia’s Advancement ½ñÈÕ³Ô¹Ï Thu, 16 Jul 2015 01:38:20 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.8.17 /wp-content/uploads/2015/11/cropped-½ñÈÕ³Ô¹Ï_icon-32x32.png west africa – ½ñÈÕ³Ô¹Ï I Championing Mathematical Sciences for Australia’s Advancement 32 32 Infection projections: how the spread of Ebola is calculated /2014/10/30/infection-projections-spread-ebola-calculated/ Thu, 30 Oct 2014 05:47:47 +0000 http://amsi.org.au/?p=2197 Article by

 

The number of reported Ebola cases is doubling roughly every five weeks in Sierra Leone, and in as little as two to three weeks in Liberia.

The number of reported cases globally is projected to reach 10,000 by the end of October. The actual number of cases may be twice the official figure. So how are such figures estimated – and what can bioinformatics do to help control the disease?

The 2014 Ebola outbreak in West Africa appeared suddenly and spread rapidly, and is thought to have started with a single animal-to-human transfer in December last year. It’s an example of an emerging infectious disease (EID): one that has newly appeared in a population or has undergone a rapid increase in incidence. SARS and various strains of avian influenza are examples of EIDs.

The annual BioInfoSummer conference and training workshop is an initiative of the ½ñÈÕ³Ô¹Ï. This year the event is being hosted by Monash University on 1-5 December.

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